Mock Draft as of 1-6-13
Happy New Year everyone!
This draft only includes trades that have already occured (Cin-Oak, and picks which have been rescinded such as from Bountygate or the supplemental draft.)
The potential trades which I have included are ones that benefit the PHI Eagles that could happen based on trading partners needs as well.
BREAKING NEWS: That hasn't yet been reflected in this mock.
-Chip Kelly is the new HC of the PHI Eagles
-Manti Te'o got caught with a fake-girlfriend hoax.
Happy New Year everyone!
This draft only includes trades that have already occured (Cin-Oak, and picks which have been rescinded such as from Bountygate or the supplemental draft.)
The potential trades which I have included are ones that benefit the PHI Eagles that could happen based on trading partners needs as well.
BREAKING NEWS: That hasn't yet been reflected in this mock.
-Chip Kelly is the new HC of the PHI Eagles
-Manti Te'o got caught with a fake-girlfriend hoax.
1.KC Chiefs-Luke Joekel-LT
Texas A&M
-Andy Reid as HC tells me
that he'll start his personal rebuild from the inside out with either
his defense or offensive lines. He has also stated that he wants to
find the next Len Dawson in this year's class.
-Joekel is one of those once
in a lifetime LT prospects; the best since Jake Long or possibly even
later back. He has the elite first step and balance that is required
of an NFL LT along with the lateral agility to mirror rushers. The
one thing that worries me about him is the “elite talent” that he
is perceived to have faced in Sam Montgomery and Corey Lemonier.
While both were productive rushers, their appeal to the NFL and to
Joekel Scouts comes from upside; they both had beyond sub-par seasons
and played nowhere near their best football.
2.JAX Jaguars-Star
Lotulelei-DT Utah
-As much as I want to mock
Geno Smith at this pick; Khan's admiration with Tim Tebow tells me
that he'll get a shot at the starting job along with the dynamic duo
of....Chad Henne and Blaine Gabbert...
-Star is a size and speed
mismatch for C and OG at the collegiate level and will continue to do
so at the next level. He has the strength to commend a double team
every single down unless the offense wants to roll the dice on a play
getting blown up. My one worry about Star is that he lacks the
lateral agility of someone like Vince Wilfork; he gets straight line
penetration and that’s about it.
3.OAK Raiders-Damontre
Moore-OLB Texas A&M
-OAK's 12 year old HC might
find Moore's explosion off the line something truly appealing. While
Moore isn't the A&M product that Von Miller was to DEN; he will
still be an every down LB at the next level. Moore has a unique blend
of explosion and power when it comes to rushing the passer.
-Hopefully the inclusion of
Moore into this lineup will give Richard Seymour some of his spark
and enthusiasm back; along with hopefully getting rid of Tommy Kelly.
4.PHI Eagles----TRADE---->NY
Jets-Geno Smith QB WVU
-NYJ swap 1st rd
picks with the Eagles in addition to giving them their 2nd
rd pick.
-The NYJ skip teams like
BUFF and ARI in order to get (arguably) the best signal caller in
this year's draft.
-I know that some people
will think that Mark Sanchez being owed so much money will give him
the starting job; but assuming the Jets can't trade him away, he'll
be relegated to 2nd string until his contract runs out.
5.DET Lions-Bjoern Werner-DE
FSU
-Kyle VB is getting to the
tail end of his career and someone new across from Cliff Avril is
needed. Warner could be the most complete defensive player in this
year's draft; his upside might not be as high as others but he poses
a very low risk investment, even at the top 5.
-The combination of Warner,
Avril, Suh, and Fairley between bail hearings is an idea that should
put fear into the hearts of NFCN Ocs for years to come.
6.CLE Browns-Sheldon
Richardson-DT Mizzou
-CLE; while needing an edge
rusher to compliment Jabal Sheard, should take the ultra-explosive DT
Richardson; I've seen various sites give Richardson a comparison to a
Fletcher Cox/JJ Watt hybrid; whether or not Richardson gets to this
level is yet to be seen but he can be a great addition to CLEs line.
7.ARI Cardinals-Chance
Warmack-OG Bama
-Larry Fitzgerald should be
somewhat subdued with this pick; Warmack will immediately start on
the league's worst offensive line and should give the trio of Qbs in
ARI some time to get their best player the ball.
-In addition to helping in
the passing game; Warmack will do well to open up running lanes
whether on straight line power runs or by pulling around, either way;
Warmack is a once in a decade OG prospect; possibly the best since
Steve Hutchinson; this puts him into the top10.
8.BUFF Bills-Ryan Nassib-QB
'Cuse
-New HC Doug Marrone will
take his protege QB along with him to BUFF. While I've heard people
telling Marrone to wait until the 2nd round but with teams
like KC and JAX picking before them, its unlikely that he'll be there
even at the top of 2.
-Nassib (in my opinion) is
the best QB in this draft with the best upside, even more so than
Geno Smith.
9.NYJ Jets---TRADE--->PHI
Eagles-Eric Fisher-OT W Michigan
-TRADE RESULT
-While I do believe that
this is quite high for someone like Eric Fisher, I believe that his
upside warrants this selection. Granted, this is based on his
performance at the Senior Bowl; where he's likely to face better
competition than he has up until now in his collegiate career.
-Fisher is arguably the best
athlete at OT in this draft, possibly besides the former TE turned LT
from Ohio State (Can't remember name for life of me.). He is an
excellent pass blocker but needs some technique refinement in his run
blocking; where due to his height and arm length can lead to being
out-leveraged, but this is something that can be fixed with the
proper OL Coach; ahem; Howard Mudd.
10.TENN Titans-Dee
Milliner-CB Bama
-Milliner isn't the pure
athlete that Morris Clairborne or Patrick Peterson have been in
recent years; but he comes out as a better prospect than Dre
Kirpatrick last season. He fits the mold of bigger CBS to come out of
Nick Saban's program. He'll give the Titans an immediate boost on the
back end and should help Michael Griffin look better.
11.SD Chargers-Johnathon
Banks-CB Miss St
-Poor Philip Rivers; his new
HC misses out on all of the top OL talent, thus there's a good chance
that he'll be running around for his life again.
-On a lighter note; Banks
will get to learn from accomplished veteran Quinton Jammer, who
cannot have too many years left. This fixes a major issue that SD
has, along with potentially being the best combination of
need:available talent.
12.MIA Dolphins-Jarvis
Jones-OLB Georgia
-Cameron Wake is jumping up
and down with this pick; since teams can no longer triple team him
each drop back.
-Jones has top3 talent but
due to his spinal injury history he'll slide down the draft boards to
the early teens. Jones has an elite first step and amazing quickness
of the edge; he's very reminiscent of Aldon Smith coming out of
Mizzou. He has to learn how to play the run better and could bulk up
if he's going to take on some bigger Ts in this league. Jones has
underrated zone coverage ability and will prove to be scheme diverse
in this defense.
13.TB Buccaneers-Kenny
Vaccaro-S Texas
-Declaring who the top S in
this class is difficult since all excel in certain aspects of the
game. Kenny Vaccaro may be the only one really worth a 1st
rd pick; he excels in Man Coverage in the slot and against TE.
Vaccaro will need to prove his worth playing deep zone; since that is
where he'll probably play in Greg Schiano's scheme.
14.CAR Panthers-Johnathon
Hankins-DT Ohio St.
-CAR needs help desperately
at the DT position. No matter what their coaching staff says; teams
are able to run the ball up the middle and get their big OL on CAR
small LB corp.
-Personally, I'm not a huge
fan of Hankins for two reasons; being a Penn State alum (just stating
there is bias) the other one is that at this point in his
development; he looks like a 2 down player at best. Could this
change; sure, but at this point Hankins looks like he'll be taken off
the field on 3rd downs.
15.NO Saints-Shariff
Floyd-DT Florida
-Hankins gets taken off the
board one pick before the Saints were scheduled to grab him. Shariff
Floyd is quite the consolation prize; he has played his way into the
middle of the first round with his performance against Louisville in
Florida's bowl game.
-Even in a losing effort;
Floyd was constantly disruptive along the middle. The fact that he
has experience playing the DE (even though he's less effective) means
that he'll be a versatile player for the Saints.
16.STL Rams-Manti Te'o-LB ND
-I was considering slotting
a safety such as Eric Reid as this position; but the perceived value
of Te'o this far down in the 1st rd is too good to pass
by. Slotting him at the SAM position immediately improves STL
defense. My biggest question for Te'o is his 40 time; I'm guessing
that he'll run somewhere between 4.6-4.7; this is somewhat slow for
someone to have to cover the new-age TE in this league; comparing the
previous ILB drafted, Patrick Willis who ran a time in the 4.4 range.
17.PITT Steelers-Ezekiel
Ansah-OLB BYU
-James Harrison's career is
in its twilight years; Ezekiel brings a student for him to mentor;
assuming he learns how to teach and occasionally smile.
-Ansah is one of several
hyper raw:athletic freak combinations in this year's draft; having
only played football for 2 years. His athleticism immediately shows
up on tape; between his ability to play virtually any position in the
front7 of a 34 scheme. While there are some downsides to being so
raw; the one that teams will attack the most as a young player is
Ansah's aggression; draw plays and screens will be the norm to his
side of the field.
18.DAL Cowboys-John
Jenkins-NT Georgia
-Drafting the mammoth
Jenkins gives DAL the option of sliding Jay Ratliff over to DE which
is something that the Cowboys have been trying to do for some time.
19.NYG-Kevin Minter-ILB LSU
-The NYG LB is a mess; they
need a top flight ILB to run their defense.
20.CHI Bears-Alec
Ogletree-ILB Georgia
-.Brian Urlacher's health is
rapidly deteriorating and CHI needs a new captain for their defense.
21.MINN Vikings-Cordarelle
Patterson-WR Tenn
-As we all witnessed in MINN
loss against GB; they need help besides Percy Harvin and All Day.
Even for a QB like Joe Webb; having a big bodied receiver who can
make a play on the ball is vital; furthermore a QB like Christian
Ponder needs a true Flanker/Z receiver to make plays for him; having
a true wide out will take safety pressure off of Zach Rudolph and
give him even more room for making plays.
22.CIN Bengals-Dallas
Thomas-OT/G Tennessee
-CIN needs help with their
OL. Dallas Thomas has the potential to be a special player in this
league if he gets a season or two in an NFL strength and conditioning
program.
23.WASH Redskins-Justin
Hunter-WR Tennessee
-WASH finds a true #1
Flanker for their young QB. Hunter's draft stock will be determined
by two things at the combine along with whichever all-star game he
participates in. His combine numbers in the 40 and vertical jump;
assuming he's regained his explosiveness will cement him as the #1 WR
taken.
24.INDY Colts-Jesse
Williams-NT Bama
-If the Colts want to
seriously be a 34 team, they need a NT. Williams doesn't have the
outright size of John Jenkins but has surprising lateral agility for
a man his size.
25.GB Packers-Dion
Jordan-OLB Oregon
-This pick will be between
Dion Jordan and Barkevious Mingo; I believe Dom Kapers will fall in
love with whichever athletic freak has a bigger combine performance.
At this point I believe that it will be Dion Jordan; who's
athleticism allows Kapers to use him in creative ways at various
LB/DE positions depending on the down and distance.
26.DEN Broncos-Johnathon
Cooper-OG UNC
-Another G being drafted in
the first round. Cooper could be the best natural athlete at the
position with his elite bending abilities. He may lack some strength
in order to be successful in a power man running scheme but should
thrive in a hybrid or strictly zone scheme. Cooper will help keep
Willis McGahee going for a few more years in addition to Knowshon
Moreno.
27.SEA Seahawks-Tayvon
Austin-WR WVU
-Well my Seahawks Super Bowl
prediction went out the window along with Pete Carrol's intelligent
Icing the kicker call...
-Austin will give the
Seahawks another scary dimension to their power running offense led
by Beast Mode. Assuming that the Patriots will win the SB; their
offense will run its pivotal moments through their all-pro WR Wes
Welker; while Austin may never reach the success that Wes has, he has
the quick lateral burst to be a mismatch all over the field, but
especially in the slot; giving him a two way go against corners; his
sure hands will help move the chains for Russell Wilson for years to
come.
28. HOU Texans-Keenan
Allen-WR CAL
-Keenan Allen comes off the
board and gives Matt Schaub another weapon to work with. Andre
Johnson will teach his aggressive YAC tactics to the young WR who has
the same mentality once the ball is in his hands.
29.ATL Falcons-Alex
Okafor-DE Texas
-Ray Edwards made out like a
bandit in FA this past offseason. He hasn't produced this year and
John Abraham is getting to the end of his career; he was drafted in
2000 and isn't getting any younger. Okafor is in the mold of John
Abraham; a power rusher with adaquate speed and a solid build against
the run.
30.BAL Ravens-Arthur
Brown-ILB Kansas State
-Ozzie Newsome makes the
biggest gamble in the draft this year with making sure that Brown is
on the board when BAL is on the clock. Brown; the brother of PHI RB
Bryce Brown was originally a recruit at the U but transferred to K
State. He has the potential to be the best ILB out of this year's
draft class, a mixture of his experience, tenacity, and amazing
athleticism will make him an All-Pro in the NFL.
31..SF 49ers-Matt Elam-S
Florida
-Dashon Golson may not be
back next year due to his franchise tag this past year. He hasn't
played up too par and neither has Donte Whittner. Bringing in Elam
brings some competition for the two veterans and is in the same mold
as Reid from LSU; a bigger S who can play against the run; but also
plagued with the same issues that show up on Matt Reid's tape; bad
angles in run and pass coverage leading to breakdowns in coverage.
32.NE Patriots-Margus
Hunt-Hybrid SMU
-This pick is assuming that
Bill doesn't trade out 18 times in order to amass picks. Although
Margus Hunt sounds a lot like a player that Belicheck would love; can
and will play special teams and make a difference; monster on the
defensive line; regardless of which hybrid lineup the Patriots are
using that week. While raw; Hunt's upside will warrant this pick; he
has only played football for two years; and only one where he's been
starting or even being shuffled along the line, he still has a ways
to go; but you can't teach speed, wingspan, or power to someone who's
already 6'8” 280....You just can't.
SECOND ROUND (2ND)
33.JAX
Jaguars-Taylor Wilson-QB Arkansas
-JAX
is a mess; no matter how much their owner loves Tim Tebow; jersey
sales don't equate to victories in the NFL, as far as I've been told
at least.
-Wilson
is a prototypical Southern gunslinger; he isn't afraid to fit the
ball into small windows and has a strong enough arm to match his
moxie. Wilson is mobile enough to slide around the pocket, but not
much else.
34.KC
Chiefs-David Amerson-CB NC State
-I
was considering slotting Sam Montgomery here until the Locker Room
photo leak which occurred recently.
-David
Amerson may have to make the switch to S at the next level depending
on how flexible his hips are at the combine; KC should hope that
Amerson doesn't have the same issue many bigger corners have in stiff
hips. On a positive note; Amerson has tremendous upside with amazing
ball skills but has to learn to play more disciplined football, he
was torched for quite a few TD this past season; all of which
occurred on double moves.
35.PHI
Eagles-Jordan Poyer-CB Oregon St
-Poyer
is undersized but makes up for this with his tremendous athleticism.
I was considering slotting Xavier Rhodes at this slot; but I believe
his draft stock will be purely determined on his combine and all-star
game performance; Rhodes has the potential to have stiff hips, which
would hurt his overall stock at the next level.
36.DET
Lions-Barrett Jones-OL Bama
-Matt
Stafford needs more protection; thats all that needs to be said. If
his OL can't open up running lanes then it wouldn't matter if he had
Jerry Rice across from Megatron; the team would still finish 8-8.
37.OAK--->TRADE---->CIN
Bengals-Eddie Lacy-RB 'Bama
-TRADE
RESULT FROM CARSON PALMER DEAL
-CIN
needs a big play back alongside The LawFirm; Eddie Lacy's performance
in the National Championship has catapulted him into the high 2nd
round. A combination of power (6-0 240), speed, and great lateral
moves with that spin move make Lacy an intriguing prospect in CIN
power running game. The biggest factor in Lacy being drafted this
high is that due to him playing in a split back offense means that he
hasn't taken too much damage physically through college.
38.ARI
Cardinals- DJ Fluker-OT 'Bama
-ARI
double dips at OL in the first two rounds; Fluker may not be a LT
during his rookie year but he'll be able to take some pressure off
whichever healthy QB ARI has at the time by opening up additional
running lanes for his RB corps.
39.CLE
Browns-2012 SUPPLEMENTAL DRAFT PICK-JOSH GORDON WR BAYLOR
40.NYJ
Jets--->TRADE---->PHI Eagles- Eric Reid-S LSU
-The
Eagles need 2 new safeties this season; thats all that needs to be
said about it. Reid flies around the field looking for receivers to
pop; this is one of his major issues, he tends to take a lot of
penalties. The other issue with Eric Reid is that his raw angle
taking leads to big plays in the passing game and losing the edge
against the run.
-I'm
almost tempted with slotting Baccari Rambo with this pick, but I have
a hunch that he'll still be available in the early 3rd
round.
41.TENN
Titans- Zach Ertz-TE Stanford
-Jake
Locker needs a dependable receiving TE as a safety blanket during his
developing years in the NFL. While, Tyler Eifert maybe a better
overall prospect; Ertz is the best receiving TE in this year's class.
-
42.BUFF
Bills- DeAndre Hopkins-WR Clemson
-Yes,
the Clemson WR who isn't Sammy Watkins.
-Hopkins
isn't the quick twitch WR that Watkins is, but he has good route
running, great hands, and the ability to build up his speed over the
duration of his route.
-In
addition, Hopkins will give Ryan Nassib another weapon besides Stevie
Johnson, who will benefit from defenses not being able to game plan
just for him.
43.MIA
Dolphins- Brennan Williams-OT UNC
-MIA
maybe looking for a Jake Long replacement should he decide to leave
the team via F/A, assuming another LT needy team makes him an offer
he can't refuse, or simply gives him a decent shot of seeing the
postseason again.
45.TB
Buccaneers-Sam Montgomery-DE LSU
-I'm
not a fan of Montgomery going anywhere near the top100; based on some
reports about his work ethic and self-centered nature. On the other
hand; he has a high ceiling and in taking LaQuon Bowers pretty high
several drafts ago and he had major red flags about his knees.
Assuming Coach Schiano can get through to Montgomery; TB could have a
dominant line when healthy.
46.CAR
Panthers-Lane Johnson-OT Oklahoma
-Like
many teams that originally picked in the top10; the announcement of
OL Lewan and Matthews returning to school really changed team's draft
strategies. Lane Johnson may not be a prototypical NFL LT but he
should be able to sure up the RT position as he learns his trade.
47.NO
Saints-BOUNTY GATE-PICK TAKEN
48.STL
Rams-Phillip Thomas-S Fresno State
-I
was trying to find another real hole in the STL roster; they have
enough young offensive playmakers that just need seasoning over time.
Thomas has the potential to be the first S taken off the board based
purely on talent; but due to playing at a small school his stock
takes a hit.
-Thomas
will be able to play Center-field in the STL defense thus providing
cover for the ballhawking Janoris Jenkins at CB.
49.SD
Chargers-Oday Aboushi-OT Virginia
-This
selection is mainly for the re-progression of Phil Rivers; he needs
protection if he wants to get back to the semi-elite level he was at
a few seasons ago.
50.PITT
Steelers-Khaseem Greene-LB Rutgers
-The
Steelers double dipping at LB makes sense based on the value they
place on the position; whereas OL and CB would make sense...At the
6th Rd. While Greene may not possess prototypical size for
a 34 LB regardless of exact position, he can be described as a
natural playmaker, he's always around the ball and always making
plays for the defense.
51.DAL
Cowboys-Tyler Bray-QB Tenn
-I
was torn between Bray and Mike Glannon with this pick but I ended up
going with Bray who I think is more NFL ready at the moment along
with less negative to his game, Tony Romo has shown time and time
again that come playoff time; and frankly any situation where “being
clutch” is needed; he isn't the one to lead this team.
52.NYG-Xavier
Rhodes-CB FSU
-The
Giants secondary can't stay healthy; this isn't really a pick based
on current talent as much as adding necessary depth if this team
wants to do anything next season. Rhodes has gone down from a top15
pick at the start of the season; he's big and strong enough to get a
good jam on the smaller NFCE receivers.
53.CHI
Bears-Jake Long-OL Oregon
-The
waah! From Jay Cutler will finally stop with the addition of an OL;
granted it still won't keep him healthy for an entire season, CHI
needs more than just one OL in order solve their problems.
54.WASH
Redskins-Chris Faulk-OT LSU
-Faulk
was considered a 1st round selection before his ACL
injury; he presents great value at the middle of the 2nd
round, considering that Trent Williams has taken 5 years to finally
play like a top5 pick.
55.MINN
Vikings- Bennie Logan-DT LSU
-Logan
hasn't even began to touch his vast potential as an interior
pass-rusher. He'll get his chance with the remnants of the Williams
Wall still taking up blockers on the line.
56.CIN
Bengals- Stedman Bailey-WR WVU
-Bailey
gives Andy Dalton an additional weapon to gain rapport with. While AJ
Green will always be his first read; having another dependable
underneath receiver never hurts.
57.INDY--->TRADE--->MIA
Dolphins- Logan Ryan-CB Rutgers
-MIA
needs help at CB; while another offensive weapon maybe a bigger need;
MIA should be able to find someone like Marcus Davis in the later
rounds; a big target with good hands.
-Ryan
will be an immediate starter in the NFL and the only reason he fell
to the 2nd round is that he plays for Rutgers.
58.SEA
Seahawks-Sylvester Williams-DT UNC
-SEA
needs help with their interior pass rush and Williams is next in a
recent line of special athletes at various defensive positions to
come out of UNC.
59.GB
Packers- DJ Swearinger-S South Carolina
-Swearinger
is one of the most versatile prospects in this year's class; he's
good in press coverage in the slot or against TE. In addition he's
comfortable playing center-field as a FS.
60.HOU
Texans- Malliciah Goodman-DE Clemson
-Goodman
looks like a versatile 34 DL in the works. With some technique work
he could be a Ty Warren type of DL. Houston would get another great
weapon to team up with JJ Watt.
61.ATL
Falcons-Giovanni Bernard-RB UNC
-ATL
needs another RB since there's a very good chance that Michael Turner
won't be back next season. Bernard gets to be the next RB with the
“poor man's Chris Johnson” moniker. He doesn't have the best
repeated cuts but has tremendous breakaway speed.
62.BAL Ravens- Tharold Simon-CB LSU
-Another pick which is meant to offset injury issues for BAL. Jimmy
Smith hasn't seen the field much since he's been drafted and he still
needs refinement until he gets put on the field and becomes an
immediate target.
63.SF 49ers- Datone Jones-OLB UCLA
-While Anthony Farr was getting more national attention; Datone is
the better pro-prospect. He is one of at least 50 hybrid 34 players
who should be drafted in the top 300.
64.NE Patriots- John Simon-DE/OLB Ohio State
-Simon is the ultimate Belichek player; he should be able to play at
least 4-5 different defensive positions in addition to being a good
special teams guy.